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April 2, 2026
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South–South Trade Hits $6.8 Trillion a Quarter of World Commerce

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Global Trade Shift 2025 | Emerging Economies Rise

Global Economy • March 2026

Global Trade Reorders as Developing Economies Surge

Trade dynamics shift away from traditional Western corridors toward emerging markets, marking a structural transformation in global commerce.

Trade between developing economies has surged dramatically, rising from $500 billion in 1995 to $6.8 trillion in 2025. This now accounts for more than a quarter of total global trade.

In Europe, Germany–China bilateral trade reached $296 billion, positioning China as Germany’s largest trading partner and reinforcing Asia’s growing economic influence.

Meanwhile, the United Kingdom reported a record $338 billion goods trade deficit in 2025. This imbalance was only partially offset by a strong $261.3 billion surplus in services.

Together, these developments highlight a fundamental rebalancing of global trade flows, with emerging economies taking a more central role in shaping the future of international commerce.

Developing Trade

$6.8T

Germany–China

$296B

UK Deficit

$338B

Source: WEF / ONS / UNCTAD

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